November 28, 2013

JET'S Picks for Thanksgiving and Week 13

Seyi Ajirotutu!? Lions can’t just tie the game with a FG or Calvin can’t just hold onto the ball!? Another terrible week is in the books. At least I pushed the Panthers game? Thankfully I made back some ground with the 49ers and Cardinals, but those weren’t my main picks from the blog (Quick Hitters) so it doesn’t help anyone else out. Well, here we go again….

3 Team Turkey Day Teaser

Lions +3.5 vs. Packers (Originally -6.5)
Cowboys +1 vs. Raiders (Originally -9)
Steelers +12.5 @ Ravens (Originally +2.5)

I annually make this bet, and I frequently win it. I plan to do so again this year. Lions are facing off against the Matt Flynn led Packers. That should be enough right there. Stafford should be able to shred the Packers defense. Flynn might have some success too as the Lions pass defense is not good but I see Lacy struggling to get the running game going against the Detroit front 7. I don’t expect this game to be all that close, with the Lions probably covering the full 6.5. Another should be layup teaser spread with the Cowboys just having to win at home against the Raiders. McGloin has looked solid in his first 2 starts, and should do well here against the Cowboys defense, but they just don’t have enough firepower to stay with the Romo and the Cowboys. Steelers and Ravens looked like a poor late night matchup a few weeks ago, but now both teams in the middle of the Wild Card hunt. These games are always close, fun matchups. The Steelers just look like the better team of late. Ray Rice is a shell of his former self, and Flacco is clearly not the QB they thought they were giving all that money too. This game can really go either way, but it should be a low scoring, close game and I will take all those points.

ATS Picks

Bears +1 @ Vikings
The Bears are a tough team to figure out. Right when you think they are good and can make a run, they throw up a stinker. Josh McCown however has looked decent at QB and should have a lot of success against the Vikings. Minnesota blew a big lead and came up with a tie against Matt Flynn. I see the Bears having a big offensive day here and confusing the public even more.

Patriots -7.5 @ Texans
I would probably by the points to make it 6.5 or 7 just in case, but I see the Patriots winning big here. Coming off that big come from behind win last week against the Broncos should have their confidence soaring. The Texans seem to get worse each week after losing to the Jaguars on Sunday when they were 10 point favorites. Nobody except the thought of the #1 overall pick can save Houston now. Patriots in a blowout.

Titans +4.5 @ Colts
The Colts have not looked good as of late. They keep falling into these huge holes early and as we saw last week, it just kept piling out. It seems Andrew Luck is struggling a bit since losing his main target in Reggie Wayne. A couple weeks ago, the Titans were left for dead, but now find themselves holding the tiebreaker for the 6th seed in the playoffs. Fitzpatrick has been playing well and should continue that against the Colts. The Colts had to come back in their first meeting to win by 3, and that’s the most I see them winning this one by. Give me the points here, and I would consider the Titans outright.

Quick Hitters

Broncos -4.5 @ Chiefs
Jaguars + 7 @ Browns
Panthers -8.5 vs. Bucs
Cardinals +3 @ Eagles
Jets -2 vs. Dolphins
Bills -3 vs. Falcons (in Toronto)
49ers -8 vs. Rams
Bengals +1 @ Chargers
Giants -1 @ Redskins
Saints +5@ Seahawks

It has been a rough first 2 weeks on the blog, but I feel a change coming. If not, then just go against what I say. I Jeremy Guarantee a come back!

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