September 2, 2014

2014 Dirty D Draft Recap, Ranks, and Notes

Last Night was the 6th version of the Dirty D fantasy football draft. Everyone was in attendance this year, so that's an improvement (#AutoBill  #DeutscheBill)

Here is the final draft board: (Click to enlarge)

12 team, PPR, 4 pt per passing TD, snake draft, random order:


Everything you read below is just my unprofessional opinion and you may or may not agree with my assessment of the draft or each team. I always welcome differing opinions so if anyone wants to rank these drafts I will post it here on my blog. Try not to be too sensi reading this blog, it's just fantasy football.

Steal of the Draft #1- Adrian Peterson, 6th overall to The Crossing Guards

Steal of the Draft #2-  DeMarco Murray, 24th overall to Angry Pirates

Steal of the Draft #3-  Leveon Bell, 32nd overall to Tahiti Loungers

Steal of the Draft #4-   Roddy White, 33rd overall to Victorious Secret

Steal of the Draft #5- Toby Gerhart, 50th overall to Team Ice Cream

Steal of the Draft #6-  Andrew Luck, 80th overall to Tahiti Loungers

Steal of the Draft #7- Reggie Wayne, 93rd overall to the rental guys

Steal of the Draft #8- Ruben Randle, 103rd overall to A Pinch Better

Steal of the Draft #90- Carlos Hyde, 119th overall to Team Ice  Cream

Steal of the Draft #9- RG3, 129th overall to Victorious Secret

Reach of the Draft #1- Arian Foster, 9th overall to Victorious Secret

Reach of the Draft #2- Drew Brees, 20th overall to A1 Providers

Reach of the Draft #3-  Matt Ryan, 46th overall to The Godfather

Reach of the Draft #4- CJ?K 66th overall to A Pinch Better

Reach of the Draft #5-  Nick Foles 72nd overall to Angry Pirates

Reach of the Draft #6- Seattle D/ST, 82nd overall to Eat More Chicken

Reach of the Draft #7- Jay Cutler, 86th overall to Mosey Machine

Reach of the Draft #8- Hakeem Nicks, 88th overall to Victorious Secret


I want to explain how I ranked the teams. First, I am not a believer in kickers or defenses making a difference in fantasy. Why? Math. That's why. Despite what you may think, D/STs and kickers have very little influence on a team/ it's hard to tell the difference between them in early September. Sure, SEATTLE D/ST may be the one exception, but even still, you can stream a defense every week and get to 80% of Seattle's production.

So I didn't include any kickers or D/STs when ranking the teams. I strictly rated each team based on:

QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs.

The best team in each category was assigned 12 points, the second best team 11 points, etc.

Now, we all know all positions are not created equally. RBs are more valuable than QBs. WRs are more valuable than TEs, because you start 2-3 of them per week. Therefore, when judging each team, I assigned a weight to each position. After talking to a few people, I decided to use:

40% weight for RBs
30% weight for WRs
20% weight for QBs
10% weight for TEs

So, for example, if I thought Paul had the best WR group, I would assign him 12 points. Then I would take 12 and multiply it by 30 for a total WR score of 360. I then added up everyone's positional scores and totaled them. Here are the raw results:

One thing this math equation does not do is take into account the GAPS between position. For example, Sean has a much larger advantage with Jimmy Graham than this equation would show. So, based off the above, here are MY official unprofessional ranks for this year's draft:

1. Tahiti Loungers (haters finna hate)
2. Mosey Machine 
3. Boston Patriots 
4. Angry Pirates 
5. Eat More Chicken
6. The Crossing Guards 
7. A Pinch Better
8. Victorious Secret
9. Team Ice Cream
10. the rental guys 
11. A1 Providers 
12. The Godfather 

Team by Team notes:

Tahiti Loungers

QB1- Andrew Luck
QB2- Tony Romo

RB1- Eddie lacy
RB2- Leveon Bell
RB3- Pierre Thomas
RB4- Ray Rice
RB5- Andre Williams
RB6- Lance Dunbar
RB7- James Starks

WR1- Julio Jones
WR2- Pierre Garcon
WR3- Terrance Williams
WR4- Cody Latimer
WR5- Josh Gordon

TE1- Zach Ertz

Defense- None
Kicker- None

I was hoping that Jimmy Graham fell to me at #8 but I knew there was a good chance Bill or Sean would scoop him up. I can't complain too much- Eddie Lacy at #8 is a gift from the Fantasy Gods. He's a stud and I am expecting a MONSTER season from the entire Packer offense.

I was borderline shocked that Julio Jones fell to me in the 2nd round. I was ready to pick another RB but I couldn't pass on Julio, who was pacing as the #1 WR last year before he got hurt.

I also thought Leveon Bell dropping to me in the 3rd round was a little ridiculous... above I listed him as one of the better steals of the draft.

Ray Rice is someone who I think, upon return from suspension in Week 3, has a chance to surprise some people. I think a bunch of people even made fun of this pick when I made it, guess we'll have to see who gets the last laugh.

I was pleasantly surprised Andrew Luck fell so far in the draft. I knew before I picked him a QB run was about to go down, and I definitely wanted to grab Luck before someone else sniped him.

Clearly this team is built on RB strength. That was my goal going in, and I'm happy coming out. I'm armed with RBs for days for trade season.

PS- Josh Gordon is expected to sue the NFL and file for a TRO which means he still may be able to play this year. Sure, it's unlikely, but at a 15th round price, I'll just drop him in the next couple days if nothing happens. These are the types of moves I wish more people in our league would consider making.... Not drafting a kicker and picking a high upside flier that you can trade in anytime.

Best Picks: Lacy, Jones, Bell, Luck
Worst Picks: none. If I thought any of my picks were bad I wouldn't have picked them

Overall Rank:  1st  (Haters fuel me)

Team Ice Cream

QB1- Ben Roethlisberger

RB1- Andre Ellington
RB2- Ryan Mathews
RB3- Toby Gerhart
RB4- Jeremy Hill
RB5- Carlos Hyde

WR1- Randall Cobb
WR2- Golden Tate
WR3- Mike Evans
WR4- Harry Douglas
WR5- Jarret Boykin
WR6- Da'Rick Rogers

TE1- Ladarius Green

Defense- St Louis
Kicker- Ghost

Adam took a kicker in Round 1, #2 overall. Needless to say, this hampered him big time in the draft.

I thought Adam did a great job of getting  RBs early when he could. The strategy here was obviously wait wait wait on QB and TE and just grab as many good RBs/WRs as possible. I think Adam took this a little too far. I totally understand the value of waiting, but somewhere in round 8, 9 or 10 you should be looking for a good QB, considering the history of our league (people taking multiple QBs too early . One of the most baffling picks was the St. Louis D/ST in the 11th Round. I thought this was an auto pick. RG3, Russell Wilson, a handful of RB lotto tickets all would have been much superior picks. I'm interested to hear why Adam went down the path he did. I also thought he waited way too long on TE... picking WR4 before you have your TE isn't advisable (at least when that WR4 is the 40th WR off the board... aka nothing special. And now Adam is stuck with Ladarius Green. Does he have potential to be really good? Sure. But he still has some hall of fame guy named Antonio Gates ahead of him who will siphon away all of Green's value as long as he's healthy.

Overall, Adam scored the lowest amount of points in my positional matrix, but because he acquired enough good players for trade chips I bumped him up to the #9 spot.

Best Picks: Ellington, Gerhart, Mathews
Worst Picks: Rams D/ST

Overall Rank: 9                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              

Victorious Secret

QB1- Peyton Manning
QB2- RG3
QB3- Johnny Football

RB1- Arian Foster
RB2- CJ Spiller
RB3- Stevan Ridley
RB4- Khiry Robinson

WR1- Roddy White
WR2- Jeremy Maclin
WR3- Hakeem Nicks
WR4- Jordan Mathews

TE1- Vernon Davis
TE2- Martellus Bennett

Defense- Patriots
Kicker- who cares/ doesn't matter

Kait is a Doctor. We all know that. A Doctor in Physical Therapy. So why, WHY Kait did you take so many brittle players? Foster at #9 is too risky for me. Sure if he stays healthy, he can justify that spot... but most people think Foster is a walking hamstring timebomb. Spiller could be good value, but again, we've seen him crumble before. Maclin and Nicks are possibly THE two most injury prone WRs in the league, so there is a lot of risk on this team.

There is also a lot of reward. If Foster and Spiller stay healthy, this team could rake. I LOVE Roddy White this year, I thought he was a steal towards the end of Round 3. RGIII lasted WAY too long in our draft....I think it's perfect to draft him as a high upside back up like Kait did. RG3 could be a huge trade chip at some point this season for Kait (Or, better yet, if RG3 works out she can trade Manning if the team gets too thin.)

Best: Roddy, RG3
Worst: Nicks,

Overall Rank: 8

Angry Pirates 

QB1- Nick Foles

RB1- LeSean McCoy
RB2- Demarco Murray
RB3- Jonique Bell
RB4- Darren Sproles
RB5- Kniles Davis

WR1- Antonio Brown
WR2- Cordarelle Patterson
WR3- Kendall Wright
WR4- Kelvin Benjamin
WR5- Riley Cooper
WR6- Aaron Dobson

TE1- Travis Kelce

Similar to my team, Campbell built his strength on quality RB depth, and I love it. I've never actually seen Murray fall to the last pick of the 2nd round in mocks this year... I doubt Campbell expected him to be there. Bell is also a nice player to have... I do expect him and Reggie Bush to split time if they are both healthy, but I think there will be enough work for both players.

The WR corps here is also very solid. Antonio Brown is a great pick and Patterson is a lot of peoples favorite sleeper. He has stupid speed, and if he wasn't on the stupid Vikings he'd probably be a 2nd round pick.

The QB/TE situation here is not the best... and its not as good as it could have been either , which is a shame. Campbell took Foles as the #6 QB off the board which actually is about right, but still too early for my liking. I understand that picking on the turn you have to reach for the  guys you like as they wont be there, but as a Foles believer I still woudl have passed on him at the 6/7 turn. ESP considering Campbell already has McCoy. I'm sort of in the camp where I like the QB-WR teammate connection, and I don't mind the WR-RB combo, but I really don't like the QB-RB combo like Campbell made for himself. Instead, at that turn, I wish Cbell took a TE. Because he ended up waiting forever and drafting Travis Kelce, who DOES have some nice upside but hes hard to trust as a starter right now.

Bottom line, though, is this team will be really good because of the RBs.

Best: Murray, Patterson
Worst: Foles,

Overall Rank: 4

Eat More Chicken 

QB1- Matt Stafford

RB1- Gio Bernard
RB2- Danny Woodhead
RB3- Bernard Pierce
RB4- Shonn Greene

WR1- Demaryius Thomas
WR2- Andre Johnson
WR3- Torey Smith
WR4- Sammy Watkins
WR5- Doug Baldwin

TE1- Julius Thomas

Defense- Seattle

Sigh. What a great start for this team. I would LOVE this team if Jenna didnt make a couple mistakes:

1. Drafting Matt Stafford.

I love Stafford and I love him this year but when you go TE early, as a rule you cant reall go QB "early" either. I would have much preferred Jenna to grab Ben Tate here and get a QB later.

2. Drafting a defense so early

This was a gross pick. It just is, people. Jenna did the same thing last year... passed on talent on the board to pick the Seattle defense. And guess what ? her team was thin. Again, picking a defense this early is not a good move. I feel like I write about this all the time and people just ignore it so Ill just leave this at it's a horrible pick.

Jenna's team would be BEAST if she had any RB depth. But she has virtually none. After Gio, who I like, her next best RBs all suck. You just cant win without RBs and when you're not active on the waiver wire or trade market, you really can't hamstring yourself like this in the draft without a plan.

The one awesome thing here is that Jenna is going to get a combined 25 TDs from the Thomas boys in Denver. Just lethal to have Peyton's top 2 targets on your team. The Crossing Guards are the lucky team to play Jenna on Denver's bye.

Best: D. Thomas, J Thomas
Worst: Seattle Def.  STOP PICKING D/ST SO EARLY.

Overall Rank:  5th

A Pinch Better

QB1- Cam Newton
QB2- Philip Rivers

RB1- Marshawn Lynch
RB2- Alfred Morris
RB3- Chris Johnson
RB4- Mike Tolbert

WR1- Vincent Jackson
WR2- Percy Harvin
WR3- Wes Welker
WR4- Ruben Randle
WR5- Dwayne Bowe
WR6- Steve Smith

TE1- Jimmy Graham

I think Sean must have a terrible non-ppr influence from playing in his other  (non-ppr) leagues. Lynch, Morris and V Jax are 3 big time fallers in PPR ranks. I liked at least 3 other RBs on the board more than Lynch (Martin, Ellington, Murray.)

The other problem is that Sean just stopped drafting RBs. Sure, he took CJ?K in the 6th (a pick I hate) but what happened Sean? Last year Sean survived on his RB depth. This year, he will likely be hurting at RB, which is never a good thing.

Sean really needs Welker or Randle to have a big year. Welker was a solid pick where he went- risky, but big upside. Same with Randle... I like his upside and thought it was a nice pick up in the 9th round.

Jimmy Graham was a great pick at #7 overall, as as I already mentioned, would have been my personal selection. I also like the QBs Sean got later in the draft... Cam fell far, and the duo Sean has here should be pretty good all year.

Best: Jimmy, Randle
Worst: V Jax, Chris Johnson (Newsflash, it isn't 2009)

Overall Rank: 7

The Godfather

QB1- Matt Ryan

RB1- Jamaal Charles
RB2- Doug Martin
RB4- Steven Jackson
RB5- Chris Ivory
RB6- Bobby Rainey

WR1- Keenan Allen
WR2- Michael Floyd
WR3- Kenbrell Thompkins
WR4- Brandon LaFell
WR5- Kenny Britt

TE1- Kyle Rudolph

OK. Lets start with the GOOD:

Abe's first 2 rounds went swimmingly. Charles is a fine selectionin the 1st, and I thought Doug Martin was a really nice pick in the 2nd round. Love Dougie this year. Easily Abe's best pick. My other favorite pick of Abe's was Kyle Rudolph.  I thought he went just where he should have and if Abe wanted him, he certainly would not have been able to wait an extra round, so the Rudolph pick was good.

Now, the BAD. Actually, wait. Go take a bathroom break first because we have a lot to cover:

-Matt Ryan pick in the 4th round, 46th overall.

Are you trolling me with this pick Abe? I can't understand it for a few reasons. Matt Ryan's ADP is around 70. You took him as the 4th QB off the board. The 4th QB? Even if you think he finishes that high, wayyyy too early. After gettting #salted by the entire league after the pick was made, I promised I would explain in depth why this was a really bad pick.
Instaead of Matt Ryan at 46 overall, you could have selected Ryan Mathews. Later in the draft in Round 9 you picked Steven Jackson, with Romo, Rivers, and Kaepernick on the board still.

Which combo would you rather have?

Ryan/S Jax?

Pretty much a no-brainer. You could have replaced 80% of Ryan's value 4-5 round later, while S Jax isn't nearly 80% the player Ryan Mathews is supposed to be.

-San Fran D/ST in the 8th round was at least 4 rounds too early. While someone MIGHT be able to make a case for Seattle's D/ST being picked before the double digit rounds, you 100% cannot make that case for any other defense. They change way too much from year to year. Navarro Bowman wont be ready until mid-season, earliest. Aldon Smith got a 9 game suspension. They downgraded at safety and the corners aren't that great to begin with. Just overall way too early to pick this D/ST.

Kenbrell Thompkins ADP is 161, hes being taken as the 71st WR off the board.

Abe picked him at #118, at least 4 rounds too early. IMUO, Thompkins isn't even draft able. Homer pick.

Anyway, Abe had a rough draft after the first few picks. The good news, though, is Abe is one of the most active owners on the waiver wire and in the trade market, so he should be able to overcome what I feel as if is the worst draft in the league.

Best:  Martin, Rudolph
Worst: Ryan, SF, Thompkins

Overall Rank: 12

the rental guys 

QB1- Colin Kaepernick

RB1- Mat Forte
RB2- Zac Stacy
RB3- Trent Richardson
RB4- Ahmad Bradshaw

WR1- DeSean Jackson
WR2- TY Hilton
WR3- Eric Decker
WR4- Reggie Wayne
WR5- Cecil Shorts III
WR6- DeAndre Hopkins

TE1- Gronk

Last year I gave Dan the second best draft. This year, we are on different pages and I gave him the 3rd worst.

You probably have felt like you've read this 1,000,000 times in the blog, bu the RB depth here is so weak!!! Why do people always ignore RB depth? I love the WR depth on this team... but Id much rather invest in 7 RBs over 7 WRs, especially when one of Dan's 3 RBs is Trent Richardson. The guy literally has done nothing in the NFL. He had three good weeks in 2012 and that's it.The fact he got traded for a 1st rounder is insane, and anyone who is leaning on T Rich in 2014 is in trouble. He's just a plodder with a big name from a big school that ESPN talked about too much. He sucks.

The Gronk pick in the 2nd round is's not the direction I would go, way to risky for me, but it's not a bad pick. I would have really liked to see Dan grab a second useful tight end instead of a 6th and 7th WR later in the draft. Zach Ertz Round 9 instead of Shorts would have been a great pick and made me feel much better about Gronk.

I really hated the Eric Decker pick, there were 6 WRs on the board still avail I like better than Decker.

Deandre Hopkins could be a good sleeper that Dan picked late, and even though I don't love Kaepernick this year, Dan got him really cheap so that part of his draft worked out well.

I also thought Reggie Wayne fell too far... probably Dan's best pick since he got him so late. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Wayne is Dan's best WR on his team this year.

Best: Forte, Wayne
Worst: T Rich, Decker

Overall Rank: 10

The Crossing Guards 

QB1- Aaron Rodgers

RB1- Adrian Peterson
RB2- Fred Jackson
RB3- Knoshon Moreno
RB4- Devonta Freeman
RB5- Jonathan Stewart

WR1- Jordy Nelson
WR2- Michael Crabtree
WR3- Julien Edelman
WR4- Justin Hunter
WR5- James Jones

TE1- Jordan Cameron
TE2- Jordan Reed

Bill's first live draft in 2 years! Well Done! Bill was handed AP at #6 overall, who I would have taken 1st, so I already love that. I was very happy with the Jordy Nelson pick as well in the 2nd round. That's about as good of a start as you can have... AP-Jordy.

And then the 3rd round came. I wont lie, I had my eyes on Aaron Rodgers too, but Bill grabbed in. It's a solid move. If I didnt think Rodgers would be the best QB this season, I wouldn't approve of it, but I do.. so I like the pick.

At this point in the draft if I am Bill I would have prioritized RB at my next pick. I would have loved to see him grab Mathews or even Jonique Bell, but instead Bill went with Crabtree, an interesting player. I think I like him a lot this year, so it's not a horrible pick, but I still would have grabbed one of the last safe RBs if I was Bill.

Bill also secured two really nice TEs... looking to take advantage of the W/R/T slot this year in Cameron and Reed. I like them both a lot.

Overall Bill's team is very strong EXCEPT he is very thin at RB, which is a big deal. I know AP probably has one of his RB slots on lock down all year, but God forbid an injury to AP and this team is sunk.

Overall, this is a really nice team. I just really hate being so thin at RB though and I have to dock you major points for that. BUT, just so everyone knows, I kinda wanted to rank this team higher.

Best: AP, Jordy, Reed
Worst: Edelman (Another chance to boost your RBs you passed on)

Overall Rank: 6th

Mosey Machine 

QB1- Jay Cutler

RB1- Montee Ball
RB2- Shane Vereen
RB3- Ben Tate
RB4- Terrance West
RB5- Mark Ingram
RB6- Ronnie Hillman

WR1- AJ Green
WR2- Victor Cruz
WR3- Marques Colston
WR4- Greg Jennings

TE1- Dennis Pitta
TE2- Charles Clay

Well, this is the last year I'm helping Beckerman prepare for his drafts!

I loved this draft, almost top to bottom with just a few flaws.

The good:

Shane Vereen was a good pick at the end of the 3rd round. It's the highest Ive seen him go and it's still a good pick. I really would have loved to get Vereen in the 4th with my own pick but I knew my pre draft love for Vereen that I expressed to Beck would prevent him from falling.

Ben Tate at the end of the 5th round was a steal. He shouldnt have lasted this long. And Beckerman backed him up with Terrance West, which was a good move.

Another TE I am high on this year is Dennis Pitta. I think he should be a PPR machine, and Beckerman let Pitta fall to him so it wasnt too early at all.

The only critique I have here is that Beckerman picked Jay Cutler too early. Adding another WR or TE would have been much better IMUO.

Best: Vereen, Tate, Pitta
Worst: Cutler

Overall Rank:  2

A1 Providers

QB1- Drew Brees

RB1- Frank Gore
RB2- Lamar Miller
RB3- Deangelo Williams
RB4- Jaquizz Rodgers

WR1- Megatron
WR2- Alshon Jeffery
WR3- Larry Fitzgerald
WR4- Mike Wallace
WR5- Anquan Boldin
WR6- Brian Hartline
WR7- Danny Amendola

TE1- Greg Olsen

Not picking a RB until the 5th round: Bold strategy Cotton, let's see how it turned out:

It turned out  somewhat OK. I personally would hate owning this team... it's just too WR heavy. I'm SURE Paul can and will make a trade or two eventually because he will have to. The good thing is  at least 4 of Pauls WRs could finish in the top 20.

Drew Brees was a reach... in the 2nd round Paul would have been much better off grabbing a RB. In fact, if he had taken someone like Doug Martin instead of Brees (and maybe Brady in the 7th) I would really have loved this team.

The one good thing about building a team on WRs is the fact they are healthier than RBs in general. So, Paul's team will likely be fairly steady all year. If he can get a few wins early and trade for a proven RB, watch out for the A1 Providers.

Best: Wallace I guess
Worst: Brees, Fitz

Overall Rank: 11

Boston Patriots

QB1- Tom Brady

RB1- Reggie Bush
RB2- Bishop Sankey
RB3- Rashad Jennings
RB4- LeGarrette Blount
RB5- Darren McFadden

WR1- Dez Bryant
WR2- Brandon Marshall
WR3- Emmanuel Sanders
WR4- Brandin Cools
WR5- Markus Wheaton

TE1- Jason Witten
TE2- Heath Miller

I know Mr. B wasn't happy with his draft spot, but I don't know why. I would have preferred to pick from the 12 hole. I would have also started WR-WR like Mr. B did... granted I would have taken Julio and Dez instead of Marshall did the right thing and loaded up on and Dez but to each his own.

Half our league could learn a lesson here. After going WR-WR, MR B did the right thing by loading up on RBs with his next 3 picks. It's still just a middle of the road RB corps, but since Mr. B is so strong at WR that hardly matters.

With good health, this should be a playoff team. I liked this draft a lot, cant really find anything negative to write abotu and also my brain is fried since this is the last team write up.

Best: Bush, Bryant, Blount

Overall Rank: 3

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